Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.029449 0.031691 0.033940 0.036359 0.038887 0.041446 0.044229
2025-11-09 0.025081 0.028595 0.032243 0.036299 0.040668 0.045218 0.050303
2025-11-16 0.022351 0.026567 0.031053 0.036153 0.041760 0.047709 0.054470
2025-11-23 0.020156 0.024858 0.029971 0.035895 0.042520 0.049656 0.057877
2025-11-30 0.018444 0.023524 0.029156 0.035790 0.043320 0.051535 0.061107
2025-12-07 0.016676 0.021991 0.027997 0.035187 0.043462 0.052598 0.063356
2025-12-14 0.015036 0.020497 0.026786 0.034433 0.043350 0.053305 0.065143
2025-12-21 0.013616 0.019178 0.025701 0.033750 0.043255 0.053976 0.066839
2025-12-28 0.013117 0.018944 0.025875 0.034521 0.044825 0.056535 0.070676
2026-01-04 0.012321 0.018292 0.025503 0.034606 0.045562 0.058113 0.073369
2026-01-11 0.011511 0.017578 0.025017 0.034520 0.046068 0.059398 0.075709
2026-01-18 0.011218 0.017510 0.025315 0.035376 0.047690 0.061987 0.079564
2026-01-25 0.010510 0.016912 0.024985 0.035519 0.048537 0.063769 0.082615
2026-02-01 0.009738 0.016203 0.024499 0.035468 0.049163 0.065316 0.085435
2026-02-08 0.008998 0.015489 0.023968 0.035323 0.049643 0.066665 0.088000
2026-02-15 0.008277 0.014757 0.023376 0.035069 0.049963 0.067801 0.090298
2026-02-22 0.007671 0.014151 0.022921 0.034966 0.050449 0.069124 0.092809
2026-03-01 0.006936 0.013312 0.022114 0.034372 0.050290 0.069640 0.094333
2026-03-08 0.006209 0.012438 0.021221 0.033629 0.049913 0.069864 0.095482
2026-03-15 0.005566 0.011647 0.020406 0.032957 0.049599 0.070144 0.096683
2026-03-22 0.005413 0.011614 0.020657 0.033715 0.051130 0.072720 0.100699
2026-03-29 0.005068 0.011253 0.020420 0.033800 0.051777 0.074186 0.103351
2026-04-05 0.004699 0.010828 0.020072 0.033715 0.052191 0.075353 0.105630